Durham, NC frost dates

From NOAA weather station Durham 11 W (USW00003758), elevation 562 ft. The station is named for Durham, and its coordinates are 10.9 miles from the Census Bureau’s internal point for Durham city.

Summary

In the 1991–2020 record, the median last spring freeze (32°F) at Durham 11 W is Mar 31 and the median first fall freeze is Nov 4, for a typical freeze-free season of 217 days. In about 1 year in 10 the last spring freeze comes after Apr 19, and in about 1 year in 10 the first fall freeze arrives by Oct 22. The station averages 71 nights per year with a low of 32°F or colder.

Compared with the median of 187 North Carolina stations in this dataset, the median last freeze here is 1 day earlier than the state median (Apr 1), the median first freeze is the same day as the state median (Nov 4), and the growing season ranks #94 of 187 by length (longest = #1). The spread between the 90% and 10% spring dates is 36 days, a measure of how variable spring is here.

Freeze probability table

Spring: chance the last freeze falls after the date. Fall: chance the first freeze falls on or before the date. Season: days between, exceeded in 90% / 50% / 10% of years.
ThresholdLast spring occurrenceFirst fall occurrenceSeason length (days)
90% / 50% / 10%
Early (90% chance of a later freeze)Median (50%)Cautious (10% chance of a later freeze)Early (10% chance by then)Median (50%)Late (90% chance by then)
36°F (light frost possible)Mar 30Apr 15May 6Oct 14Oct 26Nov 5170 / 193 / 214
32°F (freeze)Mar 14Mar 31Apr 19Oct 22Nov 4Nov 18194 / 217 / 240
28°F (hard freeze)Feb 28Mar 19Apr 5Nov 3Nov 15Dec 4219 / 244 / 269

Read the spring “Cautious” column as the safer planting date: only about 1 year in 10 has a freeze after it. NOAA computes these from daily minimum temperatures at the station; your yard can differ, especially in low spots or at a different elevation.

Planting calendar for Durham

Pick how much frost risk you accept. The calendar applies generic, extension-published timing rules to this station’s dates. See the rules and sources.

CropStart seeds indoorsPlant outdoors (spring)Latest fall planting (est.)Days to harvest

Fall estimates count back from the median first fall freeze (32°F for tender crops, 28°F hard freeze for cool-season crops) by the longer days-to-harvest figure. These are rough planning aids, not recommendations for any specific variety; check seed packets and your county extension office.

Towns that use this station as their nearest

Census places within 15 miles whose closest station in this dataset is Durham 11 W: Hillsborough (7 mi), Efland (9 mi).

Nearby stations

About this station’s data

Raw values from the NOAA file (32°F)
FieldValue
ANN-TMIN-PRBLST-T32FP1004/19
ANN-TMIN-PRBLST-T32FP5003/31
ANN-TMIN-PRBLST-T32FP9003/14
ANN-TMIN-PRBFST-T32FP1010/22
ANN-TMIN-PRBFST-T32FP5011/04
ANN-TMIN-PRBFST-T32FP9011/18
ANN-TMIN-PRBGSL-T32FP10240.0
ANN-TMIN-PRBGSL-T32FP50217.0
ANN-TMIN-PRBGSL-T32FP90194.0