Rosman, NC frost dates

From NOAA weather station Lake Toxaway 2 SW (USC00314788), elevation 3,200 ft. The nearest Census place to the station coordinates is Rosman town, 8.1 miles away.

Summary

In the 1991–2020 record, the median last spring freeze (32°F) at Lake Toxaway 2 SW is Apr 15 and the median first fall freeze is Oct 26, for a typical freeze-free season of 193 days. In about 1 year in 10 the last spring freeze comes after May 1, and in about 1 year in 10 the first fall freeze arrives by Oct 14. The station averages 100 nights per year with a low of 32°F or colder.

Compared with the median of 187 North Carolina stations in this dataset, the median last freeze here is 14 days later than the state median (Apr 1), the median first freeze is 9 days earlier than the state median (Nov 4), and the growing season ranks #146 of 187 by length (longest = #1). The spread between the 90% and 10% spring dates is 31 days, a measure of how variable spring is here.

Freeze probability table

Spring: chance the last freeze falls after the date. Fall: chance the first freeze falls on or before the date. Season: days between, exceeded in 90% / 50% / 10% of years.
ThresholdLast spring occurrenceFirst fall occurrenceSeason length (days)
90% / 50% / 10%
Early (90% chance of a later freeze)Median (50%)Cautious (10% chance of a later freeze)Early (10% chance by then)Median (50%)Late (90% chance by then)
36°F (light frost possible)Apr 14Apr 29May 13Oct 6Oct 17Oct 29151 / 171 / 191
32°F (freeze)Mar 31Apr 15May 1Oct 14Oct 26Nov 9173 / 193 / 215
28°F (hard freeze)Mar 14Apr 2Apr 19Oct 24Nov 5Nov 24196 / 217 / 245

Read the spring “Cautious” column as the safer planting date: only about 1 year in 10 has a freeze after it. NOAA computes these from daily minimum temperatures at the station; your yard can differ, especially in low spots or at a different elevation.

Planting calendar for Rosman

Pick how much frost risk you accept. The calendar applies generic, extension-published timing rules to this station’s dates. See the rules and sources.

CropStart seeds indoorsPlant outdoors (spring)Latest fall planting (est.)Days to harvest

Fall estimates count back from the median first fall freeze (32°F for tender crops, 28°F hard freeze for cool-season crops) by the longer days-to-harvest figure. These are rough planning aids, not recommendations for any specific variety; check seed packets and your county extension office.

Nearby stations

About this station’s data

Raw values from the NOAA file (32°F)
FieldValue
ANN-TMIN-PRBLST-T32FP1005/01
ANN-TMIN-PRBLST-T32FP5004/15
ANN-TMIN-PRBLST-T32FP9003/31
ANN-TMIN-PRBFST-T32FP1010/14
ANN-TMIN-PRBFST-T32FP5010/26
ANN-TMIN-PRBFST-T32FP9011/09
ANN-TMIN-PRBGSL-T32FP10215.0
ANN-TMIN-PRBGSL-T32FP50193.0
ANN-TMIN-PRBGSL-T32FP90173.0