Raleigh, NC frost dates

From NOAA weather station Raleigh 4 SW (USC00317074), elevation 420 ft. The station is named for Raleigh, and its coordinates are 7.5 miles from the Census Bureau’s internal point for Raleigh city.

Summary

In the 1991–2020 record, the median last spring freeze (32°F) at Raleigh 4 SW is Mar 28 and the median first fall freeze is Nov 9, for a typical freeze-free season of 227 days. In about 1 year in 10 the last spring freeze comes after Apr 12, and in about 1 year in 10 the first fall freeze arrives by Oct 27. The station averages 57 nights per year with a low of 32°F or colder.

Compared with the median of 187 North Carolina stations in this dataset, the median last freeze here is 4 days earlier than the state median (Apr 1), the median first freeze is 5 days later than the state median (Nov 4), and the growing season ranks #54 of 187 by length (longest = #1). The spread between the 90% and 10% spring dates is 35 days, a measure of how variable spring is here.

Freeze probability table

Spring: chance the last freeze falls after the date. Fall: chance the first freeze falls on or before the date. Season: days between, exceeded in 90% / 50% / 10% of years.
ThresholdLast spring occurrenceFirst fall occurrenceSeason length (days)
90% / 50% / 10%
Early (90% chance of a later freeze)Median (50%)Cautious (10% chance of a later freeze)Early (10% chance by then)Median (50%)Late (90% chance by then)
36°F (light frost possible)Mar 22Apr 7Apr 22Oct 17Oct 31Nov 12186 / 205 / 225
32°F (freeze)Mar 8Mar 28Apr 12Oct 27Nov 9Nov 27205 / 227 / 251
28°F (hard freeze)Feb 21Mar 14Apr 2Nov 6Nov 23Dec 17229 / 254 / 284

Read the spring “Cautious” column as the safer planting date: only about 1 year in 10 has a freeze after it. NOAA computes these from daily minimum temperatures at the station; your yard can differ, especially in low spots or at a different elevation.

Planting calendar for Raleigh

Pick how much frost risk you accept. The calendar applies generic, extension-published timing rules to this station’s dates. See the rules and sources.

CropStart seeds indoorsPlant outdoors (spring)Latest fall planting (est.)Days to harvest

Fall estimates count back from the median first fall freeze (32°F for tender crops, 28°F hard freeze for cool-season crops) by the longer days-to-harvest figure. These are rough planning aids, not recommendations for any specific variety; check seed packets and your county extension office.

Nearby stations

About this station’s data

Raw values from the NOAA file (32°F)
FieldValue
ANN-TMIN-PRBLST-T32FP1004/12
ANN-TMIN-PRBLST-T32FP5003/28
ANN-TMIN-PRBLST-T32FP9003/08
ANN-TMIN-PRBFST-T32FP1010/27
ANN-TMIN-PRBFST-T32FP5011/09
ANN-TMIN-PRBFST-T32FP9011/27
ANN-TMIN-PRBGSL-T32FP10251.0
ANN-TMIN-PRBGSL-T32FP50227.0
ANN-TMIN-PRBGSL-T32FP90205.0